Thermodynamics 2.0 | 2022 Program: Sessions and Abstracts

Mon - Wed, July 18 - July 20 , 2022 , Boone, North Carolina

Session T10: Dissipative Structure

15:15-16:15. Tuesday July 19, 2022

Chair: Michael Francis McCullough

Title: Modeling Historical Dynasties as Emergent, Dissipative Mechanisms

Presenter:

  • Mark Ciotola

(San Francisco State University)

Bio-sketch

WORK EXPERIENCE: Lecturer, Digital History, Intellectual Property and Product Development, San Francisco State University. Past teaching work at U of New Hampshire, Monash University (Australia), Swinburne University of Technology (Australia), International Space University (France) and Singularity University. Industry experience at NASA, Genentech, Applied Biosystems, Intuit and the Kessler Group (J.P. Morgan Chase). EDUCATION: B.A. Economics, U of Wisconsin-Madison. B.A. Physics (w/concentration in Astronomy) & MBA, San Francisco State University, J.D., U of New Hampshire, Grad. Cert. Space Sciences, U. of S. Australia. RECENT AWARDS: Astrosat Huntsville Prize (2017), European Space Agency Most Innovative Business Idea (2017). RESEARCH: Current: (1) Physical and quantitative history, with a focus on expressing historical processes in terms of thermodynamics. Case studies include the rise and fall of Spain's colonial empire, Colorado's San Juan mining region historical progression, and modeling dynasties as irreversible, dissipative mechanisms. Part of this research is informed by studying energy flows through ecological networks and evolutionary processes, hence the following.(2) Evolution and recurrent selection in plant species in microgravity environments as well as development of highly-compact plant growth hardware and imaging systems. Past: multi-level atmospheric models for exoplanets and brown dwarfs (assisted Dr. Mark Marley of the NASA Ames Research Center with model generation using FORTRAN programs to exam their consistency with Spitzer Space Telescope data). MEMBERSHIPS: World History Association, American Historical Association, Social Science History Association, International Society for the Advancement of Emergy Research (a/k/a Emergy Society).

Author(s):

  • Mark Ciotola

(San Francisco State University)

Abstract:T10.148

Abstract

Societies strive to maximize their economic production in accordance with the Maximum Power Principle and its implications for entropy increase. Societies and firms achieve this maximization, in part, by striving for greater efficiency via increasing their economies of scale. However, the process of establishing the structures and institutions required for economies of scale may exhibit substantial barriers to reversibility. This paper traces processes of attaining greater economies of scale using thermodynamic concepts and well as the thermodynamic implications of regimes facing intrinsic drops of overall efficiency and resource depletion.

This paper applies this approach to modeling historical dynasties as emergent, dissipative mechanisms and shows how human history can, in part, be modeled as a progression of series of interacting dynastic dissipative mechanisms.

Keywords: world history, dynasties, Maximum Power Principle, entropy, dissipative mechanisms